The latest industry data suggests that Guatemala Sugar Production 2026/27 is set to reach a historic 2.81 million tonnes…
Guatemala is set to boost its sugar output in marketing year (MY) 2026/27, with production forecast at 2.81 million tonnes — a 4.8% increase from the 2.68 million tonnes estimated for MY 2025/26, according to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS).
Acreage Expansion: The Primary Driver The growth is largely driven by a strategic expansion in harvested area. Sugarcane acreage is expected to reach 262,000 hectares in MY 2026/27, up 5.7% from a revised estimate of 248,000 hectares in the prior year. A key contributor to this surge is the Magdalena Sugar Mill in Retalhuleu, which is bringing approximately 14,000 additional hectares into production.
Supply and Demand Balance On the demand side, domestic sugar consumption is forecast to rise modestly by 1.3% to 1.13 million tonnes. This leaves a substantial surplus for the international market, with exports projected to reach nearly 1.69 million tonnes.
Table 1: Guatemala Sugar Supply and Demand Forecast (2025–2027)
(Units: 1,000 Metric Tonnes / 1,000 Hectares)
| Category | MY 2025/26 (Est.) | MY 2026/27 (Proj.) | Change (%) |
| Harvested Area | 248 | 262 | +5.7% |
| Sugar Production | 2,680 | 2,810 | +4.8% |
| Domestic Consumption | 1,115 | 1,130 | +1.3% |
| Total Exports | 1,560 | 1,690 | +8.3% |
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and industry analysis purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. The statistics and forecasts cited (including the 2.81 million-tonne production target and trade flows) are based on current USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) projections and industry data as of April 2026. Agricultural commodity markets are subject to high volatility; ynsugar.com is not responsible for any market decisions based on this content.
